President Trump

On January 1, 2019 Economist/YouGov found that 45% of Americans approved of Trump’s job performance and 53% disapproved. Among those approving the president’s performance are 11% of liberals, 33% of moderates and 79% of conservatives..

On December 22, 2018, Gallup found (among all adults) that 39% of Americans approve of President Trump’s job performance and 55% disapprove.

Effective with the survey noted above, Gallup will no longer provide a daily or weekly approval rating of the president. Beginning on January 15, 2019 Gallup will report presidential job approval on a monthly basis.

I now include a periodic polling summary–Registered and Likely Voters–by FiveThirtyEight.

  Gallup (all adults) FiveThirtyEight (Registered / Likely voters)
Date Approval Disapproval Approval Disapproval
12/30/18 41.4% 53.3%
12/22/18 39% 55%
12/2/18 40% 56% 42.5% 52.7%
11/4/18 40% 54%
11/1/18 42% 53.2%
10/14/18 44% 51% 42.1% 52.4%
9/30/18 42% 53% 41.5% 52.7%
9/2/18 41% 53%
9/1/18 40.3 54.4
8/1/18 41.4 52.9
7/1/18 42% 53% 41.8% 52.3%
1/14/18 38% 57%
1/1/18 39.5% 55.8%

The following are some additional looks at the President’s job performance. The numbers below are of registered voters unless followed by an “A” which means “all voters” or “L” which means likely voters. (QUPIAC = Quinnipiac)

Date NBC / WSJ WP / ABC CNN / ORC NYT / CBS FOX QUPIAC
DEC ’18 43/54A xx 39/52 xx 46/52 xx
NOV ’18 ELECTION 11/6 xx xx xx 36/58cbsA xx xx
NOV ’18 46/52L 44/52 41/57L xx xx xx
JAN ’18 39/57A 38/58 43/53 37/58cbsA 45/53 36/58
DEC ’17 41/56 xxx 36/59cnn 36/57 cbsA xxx 37/57
JAN ’17 xxx xxx 44/53 40/48 cbs xxx 36/44

The following are job approval numbers from Gallup for the last nine presidents and Trump.

Job Approval – Roughly 23 months into the 1st term

Kennedy 76% (12/62)
Eisenhower 69% (12/54)
GW Bush 61% (12/02)
GHW Bush 63% (12/90)
Nixon 52% (12/70)
Carter 51% (12/78)
Obama 47% (12/10)
Trump 39% (12/18)
Clinton 40% (12/94)
Reagan 41% (12/82)

On economic policy, Trump’s approval ratings have remained consistently positive since April.

  Approve Disapprove  
1/1/19 47% 46% Econ/YouGov (RV)
12/6/18 48% 42% CNBC (A)
11/18/18 52% 41% CBS News (A)
10/9/18 51% 42% Econ/YouGov (RV)
9/9/18 51% 53% CNN
8/21/18 49% 44% Fox News
7/18/18 50% 34% NBC/WSJ
6/5/18 49% 46% Quinnipiac
5/6/18 50.3% 44.8% RCP average 4/6-5/6
4/11/18 49% 46% ABC/WP
3/11/18 46% 48% CBS News
2/27/18 49% 44% CBS News
1/16/18 46% 49% CBS News

On foreign policy, Trump’s approval ratings remain in negative territory.

  Approve Disapprove  
1/1/19 42% 51% Econ/YouGov (RV)
12/11/19 42% 51% Econ/YouGov (RV)
11/19/18 42% 53% Quinnipiac (RV)
10/9/18 45% 48% Econ/YouGov (RV)
9/9/18 38% 56% CNN
8/21/18 37% 55% Fox News
7/18/18 38% 45% NBC/WSJ
6/5/18 40% 52% Quinnipiac
5/8/18 43.2% 52.6% RCP average 4/20-5/8
5/6/18 45% 49% CNN – Registered Voters
4/9/18 39% 55% Quinnipiac
3/25/18 41% 52% CNN
3/5/18 33% 61% Quinnipiac
2/5/18 37% 57% Quinnipiac
1/16/18 36% 60% Quinnipiac