Congress

Congressman Don Young (R-AK) has become the longest-serving Republican in the House of Representatives, surpassing the record held by the former Speaker of the House Joseph Cannon (R-IL) who once observed, “The House is the most peculiar assemblage in the world and only a man who has had long experience there can fully know its idiosyncrasies. It’s true we engage in fierce combat. We’re often intense partisans. Sometimes we are unfair yet, I venture to say that nowhere else will you find such a ready appreciation of merit and character.” [Speaker Pelosi 3/6/19]


Approval of the Congress generally remains in the tank.

  Approve Disapprove
Real Clear Pol. 5/14/19 22.0% 66.2%
Real Clear Pol. 4/2/19 22.8% 66.8%
Real Clear Pol. 3/26/19 20.8% 68.8%
Real Clear Pol. 2/26/19 19.4% 70.0%
Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19 19.6% 69.3%
Real Clear Pol. 1/4/18 15.8% 72.6%

[WW uses Jessica Taylor and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]

The House of Representatives

2020

  • Democrats 236
  • Republicans 200
  Democrats Republicans
Safe in 2020 183 162
Likely 18 19
Lean 18 14
Tossup 17 4

The Senate

[WW uses Jennifer E. Duffy of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below.]

In 2020, Republicans will be defending 22 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats.

Gary Peters moves from Safe to Likely, Joni Ernst moves from Safe to Likely.

The hill the Democrats must climb to take control of the Senate looks pretty steep at this point.

  • Republicans 53
  • Democrats 45
  • Independents 2
  Democrats Republicans Independent
Seats not up in 2020 33 31 2
Safe in 2020 8
Coons
Durbin
Markey
Shaheen
Booker
Merkley
Reed
Warner
12
Sullivan
Cotton
Risch
Cassidy
Daines
Sasse
Inhofe
Graham
Rounds
Cornyn
Moore Capito
Enzi
 
Likely 2
Smith
NM (Udall)
Peters
5
McConnell
Tennessee
Kansas
Hyde-Smith
Ernst
 
Lean 0 3
Collins
Perdue
Tillis
 
Toss Up 1
Jones
2
McSally
Gardner