Congress

Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak, having dropped since the first of the year.

  Approve Disapprove
Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19 17.2% 71.4%
Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19 20.0% 69.8%
Real Clear Pol. 5/14/19 22.0% 66.2%
Real Clear Pol. 4/2/19 22.8% 66.8%
Real Clear Pol. 3/26/19 20.8% 68.8%
Real Clear Pol. 2/26/19 19.4% 70.0%
Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19 19.6% 69.3%
Real Clear Pol. 1/4/18 15.8% 72.6%

[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]

As of July 26, twelve incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – three Democrats and nine Republicans.

The House of Representatives

2020

  • Democrats 235
  • Republicans 197
  • Independent 1
  • Vacancies 2
  Democrats Republicans
Safe in 2020 182 160
Likely 17 18
Lean 19 15
Tossup 17 4

The Senate

[WW uses Jennifer E. Duffy of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]

In 2020, Republicans will be defending 22 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It is unlikely that the Republicans will lose control of the Senate in this election.

  • Republicans 53
  • Democrats 45
  • Independents 2
  Democrats Republicans Independent
Seats not up in 2020 33 31 2
Safe in 2020

7
Coons
Durbin
Markey
Warner
Booker
Merkley
Reed

13
Sullivan
Cotton
Risch
Cassidy
Daines
Sasse
Inhofe
Graham
Rounds
Moore-Capito
WY (Enzi)
Tennessee (Alexander)
Hyde-Smith
 
Likely 4
Smith
Shaheen
Peters
NM (Udall)
5
McConnell
Cornyn
Kansas (Roberts)
Ernst
 
Lean 0 3
Collins
Perdue
Tillis
 
Toss Up 1
Jones
2
McSally
Gardner
 

The number of roll call votes on amendments in the Senate since the beginning of 2019 is 18. During the same time period in the ten previous Congresses, senators took anywhere from 34 to 231 votes on amendments. [Political Playbook 8/4/19]