Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak, having dropped since the first of the year.
| Approve | Disapprove | |
| Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19 | 16.6% | 71.4% |
| Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19 | 17.2% | 71.4% |
| Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19 | 20.0% | 69.8% |
| Real Clear Pol. 5/14/19 | 22.0% | 66.2% |
| Real Clear Pol. 4/2/19 | 22.8% | 66.8% |
| Real Clear Pol. 3/26/19 | 20.8% | 68.8% |
| Real Clear Pol. 2/26/19 | 19.4% | 70.0% |
| Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19 | 19.6% | 69.3% |
| Real Clear Pol. 1/4/18 | 15.8% | 72.6% |
[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]
As of September 9, 2019, nineteen incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – four Democrats and fifteen Republicans.
The House of Representatives
2020
- Democrats 235
- Republicans 199
- Vacancies 1
| Democrats | Republicans | |
| Safe in 2020 | 182 | 159 |
| Likely | 18 | 22 |
| Lean | 17 | 13 |
| Tossup | 18 | 5 |
The Senate
[WW uses Jennifer E. Duffy of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]
In 2020, Republicans will be defending 22 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It is unlikely that the Republicans will lose control of the Senate in this election. The only change in the chart below since the last edition of the Watch is that Senator Collins (R-ME) moves from Lean to Toss Up.
- Republicans 53
- Democrats 45
- Independents 2
| Democrats | Republicans | Independent | |
| Seats not up in 2020 | 33 | 31 | 2 |
| Safe in 2020 |
7 |
13 Sullivan Cotton Risch Cassidy Daines Sasse Inhofe Graham Rounds Moore-Capito WY (Enzi) Tennessee (Alexander) Hyde-Smith |
|
| Likely | 4 Smith Shaheen Peters NM (Udall) |
5 McConnell Cornyn Kansas (Roberts) Ernst |
|
| Lean | 0 | 3 Collins Perdue Tillis |
|
| Toss Up | 1 Jones |
3 McSally Gardner Collins |