Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak.
Approve | Disapprove | |
Real Clear Pol. 1/14/29 | 22.4% | 65.2% |
Real Clear Pol. 12/3/19 | 22.4% | 65.6% |
Real Clear Pol. 10/29/19 | 23.0% | 64.8% |
Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19 | 16.6% | 71.4% |
Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19 | 17.2% | 71.4% |
Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19 | 20.0% | 69.8% |
Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19 | 19.6% | 69.3% |
Real Clear Pol. 1/4/18 | 15.8% | 72.6% |
Three recent surveys show Democrats leading Republicans in a generic congressional ballot.
Democrats | Republicans | |
Economist/YouGov 1/14/20 | 46% | 42% |
Politico/Morning Consult 1/12/20 | 42% | 39% |
NBC/WSJ 12/17/19 | 49% | 42% |
[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]
As of January 3, 2020, 39 incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – 10 Democrats and 29 Republicans.
The House of Representatives
2020
- Democrats 235
- Republicans 198
- Independents 1
- Vacancies 1
Democrats | Republicans | |
Safe in 2020 | 181 | 161 |
Likely | 20 | 19 |
Lean | 18 | 12 |
Tossup | 18 | 5 |
The Senate
[WW uses Jennifer E. Duffy of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]
In 2020, Republicans will be defending 23 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It is unlikely that the Republicans will lose control of the Senate in this election.
- Republicans 53
- Democrats 45
- Independents 2
Democrats | Republicans | Independent | |
Seats not up in 2020 | 33 | 30 | 2 |
Safe in 2020 | 7 Coons Durbin Markey Warner Booker Merkley Reed |
13 Sullivan Cotton Risch Cassidy Daines Sasse Inhofe Graham Rounds Moore-Capito Wyoming (Enzi) Tennessee (Alexander) Hyde-Smith |
|
Likely | 3 Smith Shaheen NM (Udall) |
5 McConnell Cornyn Kansas (Roberts) Purdue Loeffler |
|
Lean | 1 Peters |
3 Ernst Jones (AL) Collins |
|
Toss Up | 0 | 3 McSally Gardner Tillis |