Approval of the Congress generally remains quite bleak.
| Approve | Disapprove | |
| Real Clear Pol. 7/7/20 | 23.0% | 64.0% |
| Real Clear Pol. 6/23/20 | 23.7% | 64.7% |
| Real Clear Pol. 5/26/20 | 28.5% | 56.8% |
| Real Clear Pol. 4/14/20 | 29.3% | 56.8% |
| Real Clear Pol. 2/11/20 | 22.4% | 65.6% |
| Real Clear Pol. 1/14/29 | 22.4% | 65.2% |
| Real Clear Pol. 12/3/19 | 22.4% | 65.6% |
| Real Clear Pol. 10/29/19 | 23.0% | 64.8% |
| Real Clear Pol. 9/10/19 | 16.6% | 71.4% |
| Real Clear Pol. 8/6/19 | 17.2% | 71.4% |
| Real Clear Pol. 6/11/19 | 20.0% | 69.8% |
| Real Clear Pol. 1/1/19 | 19.6% | 69.3% |
As of July 11, the Democrats are leading the generic Congressional ballot: Democrats 49.4% and Republicans 40.4%. [Fivethirtyeight.com]
[WW uses David Wasserman and the Cook Political Report for the House chart below.]
When President Trump took office in January 2017, there were 241 Republicans in the House. Since then, 115 (48%) have either retired, resigned, or been defeated or are retiring in 2020. [David Wasserman, Cook Political Report 7/1/20]
As of June 16, 2020, 37 incumbent members of the House are not seeking re-election – 10 are Democrats and 27 are Republicans.
The House of Representatives
2020
- Democrats 233
- Republicans 197
- Independents 1
- Vacancies 4
| Democrats | Republicans | |
| Safe in 2020 | 183 | 165 |
| Likely | 19 | 14 |
| Lean | 18 | 14 |
| Tossup | 16 | 6 |
The Senate
[WW uses Jessica Taylor of the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections for the Senate chart below. When those two organizations do not agree, WW uses Sabato as a tie breaker.]
In 2020, Republicans will be defending 23 seats while Democrats will be defending 12 seats. It remains likely that Republicans will retain control of the Senate in this election although chances appear to be improving for the Democrats.
Rep. Doug Collins has a very modest 2-point lead over Senator Kelly Loeffler in the Senate Republican primary in Georgia. Rep. Kennedy appears to have a growing lead over Senator Ed Markey in the Democratic primary.
- Republicans 53
- Democrats 45
- Independents 2
| Democrats | Republicans | Independent | |
| Seats not up in 2020 | 33 | 30 | 2 |
| Safe in 2020 | 8 Coons Durbin Markey Warner Booker Merkley Reed Shaheen |
10 Cotton Risch Cassidy Hyde-Smith Sasse Inhofe Rounds Moore-Capito Wyoming (Enzi) Tennessee (Alexander) |
|
| Likely | 2 Smith NM (Udall) |
5 McConnell* Cornyn* Sullivan* Graham* Purdue* |
|
| Lean | 1 Peters |
5 Ernst* Jones (AL)* Loeffler* Kansas (Roberts)* Daines* |
|
| Toss Up | 0 | 3 McSally Gardner Tillis Gardner |